Senior Israeli defense officials have warned their counterparts in Europe and the United States that Lebanon’s serious economic, political and infrastructural problems crisis is accelerating efforts to root Iran in the region and strengthen Hezbollah, according to a recent report by the Kan new.
According to the report, the sources told their counterparts that alongside the economic and humanitarian problems plaguing Lebanon, a security problem for the region is also present, and the international community must wake up to the challenge.
“Fifteen years after the end of the Second Lebanon War, Israel and Hezbollah are in a tense status quo,” said a source Kan. “It is difficult to know what will happen if a third war in Lebanon breaks out. If the situation changes, each party will have to pay a heavy price, social and economic, and a long payback will be required. In the best case, we will revert to the existing situation.
The source said Hezbollah was not seeking to start a war, adding that Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah was not interested in endangering his ability to survive and that internal Lebanese interests largely controlled his conduct, forcing him into a “very heavy responsibility”.
The Israeli deterrence left by the 2006 conflict and the “Dahyia Doctrine,” which was created by the intensive Israeli aerial bombardment of Hezbollah sites in the southern Beirut neighborhood, remain as influences.
Last week, the IDF’s northern command reportedly estimated that Hezbollah has between 130,000 and 150,000 rockets and missiles at different ranges, and that the IDF is more concerned with Hezbollah’s precision-guided missile capability since it allows the organization to shoot within 10 meters. of a target.
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