Iran is a weak regime

The demonstrations that have shaken Iran since the murder of the young Iranian Mahsa Amini suggest remarkable facts and sum up the reality of the regime in Tehran today, which uses all kinds of violence against its citizens.

The current protests should not be viewed from the perspective of whether or not the regime will fall. However, they must be viewed from the perspective that the regime’s real problem is on the inside – with Iranian citizens. Here are Iranian women taking a stand against their religious leaders, showing a bravery that not all of Iran’s affiliates in the region would dare to do.

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The regime can talk about conspiracy theories all it wants, but the first to reject them are the Iranians themselves because they are well aware that the regime resorts to conspiracy theories in every crisis to try to flee forward. and under cover of unity. against the enemy. The enemy of the mullahs, however, is the Iranian people themselves.

The recent protests and the brutal crackdown on protesters by the regime in Tehran is a real embarrassment for the United States and Europe, as it exposes its hypocrisy and double standards vis-à-vis the countries of the region. like Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and others, in relation to the crimes committed by the Iranian regime.

In this context, fellow journalist Mohammed al-Yahya wrote an article in June 2022 entitled “The young and the restless”, in which he asserts that there is no future for the Middle East with a youth frustrated. Al-Yahya says, “Perhaps the most important point where the Iranian and Saudi models diverge is the radically different approaches they offer to dealing with their country’s youth.

He adds: “As Iran uses and reinforces retrograde, reactionary and anti-Western Islamist and police forces to crush the aspirations of its youth […], Saudi Arabia has chosen to draw on the energy of its youth to fight the dangerous and backward Islamist countercurrent. Al-Yahya further notes that “[s]Since the success or failure of these opposing approaches is likely to shape both the region and the Muslim world as a whole for decades to come, it is important for the West to choose wisely.

Indeed, many in the region today speak of Western hypocrisy and double standards.

Of course, the crimes of the mullahs of Tehran do not only occur in Iran but in the whole region through assassinations, whether physical (murder) or moral (accusations of treason), as well as the destruction of the concept of Arab state.

Iran is destroying the concept of an Arab state not only through the power of arms and militias, but also by fragmenting the social fabric of Arab states, such as Syria, Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen, fanning the flames of an odious sectarianism.

Certainly, not only America and the West are embarrassed, but even the Assad regime, Hezbollah in Lebanon, the sectarian armed militias in Iraq, the Houthis in Yemen, Hamas and Islamic Jihad.

All of these parties now feel stuck as to what would happen in Iran if the protests undermine the regime. This adds to the fate of Iran’s Supreme Leader, as press reports mention disputes over who will be his successor. We should also not forget that Iran has not yet recovered from the assassination of Qassem Soleimani. Imagine adding the absence of the Supreme Leader on top of that.

Therefore, Tehran’s problems are internal problems and the regime’s enemy is the Iranian people. In short, the Iranian regime is weak, and the only ones who have not yet understood this are the United States and Europe, where some still believe in the superficial illusions of the Obama legacy.

This article was originally published and translated from the pan-Arab daily Asharq al-Awsat.

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